Week 2 Preview

Last week was full of potential. I hit on my two early game predictions, leaving me with a live three team parlay heading into the night game. Folks, this is an ideal situation to find yourself in. At this point, you can guarantee that you win the payoff amount of your parlay by insuring yourself with a bet on the opposite side. If you didn't insure your parlay, you found yourself out .1 units last weekend. Any amount you had wagered on the opposite of your final parlay leg would have improved this. Sure, it could reduce your profit, but a little peace of mind can make a late game much more enjoyable.

Anyway, let's make some money...

New Orleans -3 1/2 @ Tampa
The Saints looked awful to open the season last week. That said, Tampa is in the running for being the worst team in the NFL. The formula here fits the formula we used with the Pittsburgh game to a T. New Orleans is clearly the superior team being asked to cover a smallish spread because they are on the road. If this game is in Louisiana, it's an 8 or 9 point spread. Play New Orleans for 2 units.

Cincinnati -7 @ Cleveland
Yes, I'm picking on the Browns again. They were awful last week and have since traded their starting QB. Cincy caused 6 turnovers against an experienced Baltimore offense last week. What is Derek Anderson going to do? Brady Quinn? Please. Lay the touchdown for one unit.

Indianapolis @ Tennessee Over/Under 46
Indy looked dominant last week while Tennessee had to fight and claw their way to victory. The last four times these teams have met they've stayed under this number. Also, when the Colts travel to Tennessee, they seem to forget the firepower at home. Look for a lot of running in this one as it stays below the number. Play the under for 1 unit.

Green Bay +2 1/2 @ New York Giants
I think the wrong team is favored here. The Packers beat the Eagles in a close one last week while the Giants got man-handled by the Cowboys last week. Mix in the fact that the Pillsbury Throwboy will be under center and something called Derrick Ward will be taking the carries for the G-men and things look pretty bright for those from the land of cheese. Play the Pack +2 1/2 for 1 unit.

To recap:
New Orleans -3 1/2 for 2 units
Cincinnati -7 for 1 unit
Indy/Tennessee Under 46 for 1 unit
Green Bay +2 1/2 for 1 unit